Just as most watchers of American politics started thinking there cannot be any more twists this election season came reports about a second assassination attempt on former president Donald Trump. The Republican candidate was at a golf course in Florida on September 15 when a lone gunman was seen about 500 metres from him. The would-be shooter fled after the Secret Service opened fire, but was soon arrested.
Trump later said he was being targeted repeatedly because of “rhetoric” against him by President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate. The incident, five days after the Harris-Trump debate in Philadelphia, could give a lift to Trump, whose debate performance was uninspiring.
It was clear to the 65 million people who tuned in that Trump was unprepared, while Harris had facts at her fingertips. He glowered, and was always belittling his opponent. At times, Harris was in full prosecutor mode, and at other times, when Trump’s pronouncements were over the top, she looked bemused, as if her rival were a child.
Most media handed the winner’s title to Harris, though with a challenging neck-and-neck race in many swing states and Trump’s Teflon personality, anything is possible in the elections.
Among the Indian-American community, Harris holds sway with the majority. This is especially true with younger voters and is the result of a well-planned canvassing process, from phone banks to social media to word of mouth. At the heart of it all is the matter of representation and the wave of recognition which sweeps over many Indian-Americans when they look at Harris―she is one of them.
Neha Dewan, co-national director of South Asians for Harris, recalls that when she showed a photo of Harris to her two daughters, aged five and two, they immediately piped up: “She looks like mommy!” Immigrants who were children when they came to the US and are now parents are seeing the possibility of a president who looks like them. They have realised the strength of numbers and many are unifying with other immigrants under the Democratic umbrella.
The focus is on swing states Georgia and North Carolina, where Harris has narrowed the gap with Trump. Efforts include targeting the youth and women. The importance of down-ballot candidates, who influence decisions on key issues like gun control at the state level, is emphasised.
According to the Indiaspora Impact Report, recently released in conjunction with the Boston Consulting Group, Indian-Americans comprise about 1 per cent of the voters and show increasing influence in swing states, with potential to shape outcomes in close contests. The demographic trend in recent years shows a significant rise in the number of Indian-American voters. This voter base is actively participating in the electoral process and many in the community contribute significantly to political campaigns and are involved in policy advocacy, focusing on areas like immigration reform, civil rights and bilateral relations between the US and India.
Although Indian-Americans are traditionally Democrats, some support the Republican Party, too, for its stance on taxes and immigration. The diversity of the diaspora was demonstrated by the prominence of two contenders in the 2024 Republican primary (Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy).
Trusting in trump: Trump, too, finds support among the Indian diaspora. Dr Sampat Shivangi (right) is a prominent supporter who appreciates his pro-India and pro-Hindu stance.
While representation is important to immigrant voters, it is rare that you have Indian connections on both sides―this year could end with an Indian-American president or an Indian-American second lady, in Usha Vance. “It’s an incredible happenstance that two women of Indian origin feature on either side of the aisle, although in roles that are not comparable,” says Sanjeev Joshipura, executive director of Indiaspora. “That said, it’s apparent that this situation is no fluke. Our community’s contributions in the US public service arena are rising.” As per the Indiaspora report, over 150 officials of Indian origin hold senior positions in the current administration’s executive branch―a growth of 150 per cent in 10 years.
As Joshipura points out, apart from the two serious presidential candidates on the Republican side, on the Democratic side, five members of Congress are of Indian background, and there is a good chance that the November elections will yield one or two more. “I’ve witnessed a tremendous surge of excitement among our community in reaction to the news about Kamala Harris running for president, and to a lesser but perceptible extent, the potential for Usha Vance becoming second lady,” he says.
Surveys continue to show 70 to 80 per cent of Indian-Americans voting Democratic, but the steadily increasing political engagement and financial clout of the diaspora in the US incentivises both parties to take the community seriously. There are wealthy Indians in tech and finance who are fiscal conservatives and support the Republican Party.
Trump has his Indian-American supporters, too. A prominent one being Dr Sampat Shivangi, who appreciates the former’s pro-India and pro-Hindu stance. Shivangi has been an official Republican delegate six times, from the time of George W. Bush, and has supported Trump in all three of his runs for president. Shivangi was a Democrat, but became a Republican during the Bush years because of the president’s support for India’s nuclear proliferation treaty and pro-India stance. He is a founding member of the Republican Indian Council and the Republican Indian National Council. Over the past three decades, he has lobbied for several bills on behalf of India. He believes that Harris does not see herself as Indian and largely identifies as black―perhaps as that is the larger voting bloc.
Dr Shobha Agarwal, a cardiologist who is the president of the Georgia chapter of the American Hindu Coalition, feels that there is a shift in the community towards the Republican Party because of issues like border security and family values. She also mentions anti-Hindu resolutions and the need for better representation for Hindus in politics and for them to be engaged and to speak up: “If you’re not at the table, you end up on the menu.”
“My job in Georgia has been to educate Indian-Americans because the registration is in dismal numbers in our community, and we are 1,73,000 Americans in the state of Georgia,” she says. “We want to change that. We invited the Georgia state president [of the Republican Party]―he was so down to earth and approachable and blended in with our community.”
Out in Georgia, the Democrats are also hard at work. Sonjui Kumar, an attorney, is the national board chair for South Asians for Harris which in the 2020 cycle was known as South Asians for Biden. She says: “I’m very active in Georgia and we’re really focused on both Georgia and North Carolina. These are two states which were not considered swing states a month ago. So, this has been a quick calibration on our part, as both these states came back into play after President Biden withdrew.”
In 2020, Biden won Georgia with a small margin and North Carolina went for Trump. “In the 2024 cycle, polling was showing a 13-point gap between Trump and Harris in Georgia,” says Kumar. “That is now a dead heat. So, in one month, Harris took away the Trump advantage in Georgia.”
Kumar believes this change is because of the youth and gender vote and also Harris being the candidate. “I think with Biden, as much love and gratitude as the party had for him, it was hard for us to get people engaged,” she says. “And you know, the 18 to 25 voter is like almost too young to even remember Joe Biden.”
With the clock ticking, it is especially important to get the Indian-American voters galvanised in the swing states and to support down-ballot candidates like Ashwin Ramaswami, who is running in Johns Creek, north of Atlanta, which has a large Indian population. The 24-year-old is the first Indian-American Gen Z candidate to run for the Georgia state senate.
As Kumar notes, nothing has changed after the debate―things have become more intense in the key battleground states―including Michigan and Pennsylvania―where south Asian voters can be the decisive margin of victory for Harris and other Democrats down the ballot.
As in everything else in life, there is also the inevitable WhatsApp chat group―the Desi President group―to bring Indian-Americans together in this most important election in the United States.
Lavina Melwani is a New York-based writer for several international publications and blogs at Lassi with Lavina.